Skip to main content

Posts

Showing posts with the label beating street estimates

The 'Beating Street Estimates' game

The Associated Press (via NY Times) has an article explaining how so many US companies regularly manage "to beat analysts' estimates": Corporate America has a habit of low-balling the earnings forecasts used by analysts to determine their estimates. That way, the bar is lower, and companies can easily jump over when the quarter's results are announced -- even if profits and revenues have fallen off a cliff. ...Beating expectations generally gives share prices a quick lift, but the news can mislead investors about the real state of the business -- and just how far this economic recovery has to go. In fact, of the companies reporting third-quarter results so far, 60 percent have posted lower net income compared with a year ago. ...A study of stock returns from 1994-2007 concluded that analyst forecasts were the second-most influential force on price movements. Management forecasts topped the list, according to Beverly Walther, an accounting professor at Northwestern Un...